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	<title>Ecobella Blog &#187; BioFuels</title>
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		<title>Food prices: no biofuel to blame</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/29</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/29#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2008 17:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=29</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[5th November 2008
Prices of major grains and oilseeds such as corn, wheat, soyabeans, and palm oil that are used to make biofuels are tumbling, indicating green fuels have played virtually no role in the recent global surge in food prices.
Corn and soyabeans have lost more than half of their value, whereas wheat now costs 55% [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:78%;">5th November 2008</span></p>
<p>Prices of major grains and oilseeds such as corn, wheat, soyabeans, and palm oil that are used to make biofuels are tumbling, indicating green fuels have played virtually no role in the recent global surge in food prices.</p>
<p>Corn and soyabeans have lost more than half of their value, whereas wheat now costs 55% less than at its highpoint in March of this year. Canola fell from a high of $730 (€568.7) a tonne earlier this year to $400/tonne in late October. </p>
<p>Prices of other internationally-traded farm products are following the same downward slope. Both cocoa and coffee have lost more than 40%, and cotton has experienced a similar trend. </p>
<p>Major agricultural  commodities are seeing dramatic drops, disproving the opinions of  food-versus-fuel critics.</p>
</p>
<p>Heavy demand for corn from ethanol producers was sighted as a significant source of corn futures to record highs in June, but since then the sharp decline of corn along with other commodities shows that this was mistaken.</p>
<p style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Corn is down about 50% from its record high in June, even as the amount of the grain used to produce the renewable fuel in the US remained the same.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Permalink: <a href="http://www.biofuels-news.com/news/no_bio_blame.html">http://www.biofuels-news.com/news/no_bio_blame.html</a></p>
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		<title>Boeing leads biofuels initiative</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/27</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/27#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 04:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=27</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[2nd October, 2008
The airlines, led by Boeing, have commissioned two initial studies investigating algae and jatropha-sourced biofuels.
Aeroplane manufacturer Boeing is heading a biofuels initiative, supported by several airlines, which aims to accelerate the development and commercialisation of sustainable aviation fuels.
The basic target is to use biofuels and to replace fossil fuels in 2013.
The group has [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>2nd October, 2008</p>
<p>The airlines, led by Boeing, have commissioned two initial studies investigating algae and jatropha-sourced biofuels.</p>
<p>Aeroplane manufacturer Boeing is heading a biofuels initiative, supported by several airlines, which aims to accelerate the development and commercialisation of sustainable aviation fuels.</p>
<p>The basic target is to use biofuels and to replace fossil fuels in 2013.</p>
<p>The group has commissioned two initial studies investigating algae and jatropha-sourced biofuels&#8217; lifecycle carbon dioxide emissions and socio-economic impact.</p>
<p>Airline members of the newly-formed Sustainable Aviation Fuel Users Group comprise Air France, Air New Zealand, All Nippon Airways, Cargolux, Continental Airlines, Gulf Air, Japan Airlines, KLM, SAS and Virgin Atlantic Airways, which claim to collectively account for 15-20% of commercial jet fuel use.</p>
<p>They have teamed up with Boeing and Honeywell&#8217;s refining technology developer UOP to research renewable fuel sources with the aim of cutting emissions, reducing the industry&#8217;s fossil fuel dependence and its exposure to oil price volatility.</p>
<p>&#8216;The airlines in this group have all previously had their own initiatives and, for the first time, we have joined together as a common force,&#8217; Gulf Air chief strategy officer Tero Taskila comments.</p>
<p>&#8216;It will give us more force behind the cause, which will make it faster and we can address the issues globally.&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;It is very important that, whatever alternative solution we have in the future, it can be produced locally,&#8217; he adds. &#8216;It doesn&#8217;t make sense to have a refinery in Brussels supplying the rest of the world because taking the fuel around the world will create a carbon footprint.&#8217;</p>
<p>Following initial discussions in January, Taskila says members of the group met in Seattle in August with a follow-up meeting scheduled for October.</p>
<p>During this session the members will work to align their existing projects and come up with a detailed plan of how to progress.</p>
<p>Boeing is funding the research, which will be performed by the Natural Resources Defense Council and Yale University.</p>
<p>Permalink: <a href="http://www.biofuels-news.com/news/boeing_initiative.html">http://www.biofuels-news.com/news/boeing_initiative.html</a></p>
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		<title>Renewable jet fuel is taking off in the world of $100+ oil, but has very far to go</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/25</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/25#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2008 16:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peak oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=25</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fuel costs are crippling the industry, which is heading for a collective $40bn loss this year. Ten small carriers have gone under. Normal biodiesel freezes at high altitude and contains too much oxygen (meaning added weight, not energy content).
But recently Finnish oil company Neste has found a way to produce oxygen-free biodiesel. It has two [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fuel costs are crippling the industry, which is heading for a collective $40bn loss this year. Ten small carriers have gone under. Normal biodiesel freezes at high altitude and contains too much oxygen (meaning added weight, not energy content).</p>
<p>But recently Finnish oil company Neste has found a way to produce oxygen-free biodiesel. It has two plants running and another two planned. The Fischer-Tropsch process can also be used  for biomass to liquids. And algae could in principle produce all the jet fuel used today in an area the size of Belgium, according to Boeing. Others are not so optimistic, and meanwhile jet fuel accounts for almost 60% of the current DoD annual budget. Much more in the article.</p>
<p>Source: A tank of the green stuff,” David Strachan, New Scientist, 16 August 2008.</p>
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		<title>A Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/22</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/22#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Aug 2008 12:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=22</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
By David Cho
 Washington Post Staff WriterThursday, August 21, 2008

 Regulators had long classified a private Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses. 
 But when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission examined Vitol&#8217;s books last month, it found that the firm was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size:85%;">
<div id="byline">By <a href="http://projects.washingtonpost.com/staff/email/david+cho/" title="Send an e-mail to David Cho">David Cho</a></div>
<p> Washington Post Staff Writer<br />Thursday, August 21, 2008</p>
<p></span>
<p> Regulators had long classified a private Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses. </p>
<p> But when the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Commodity+Futures+Trading+Commission?tid=informline" target="">Commodity Futures Trading Commission</a> examined Vitol&#8217;s books last month, it found that the firm was in fact more of a speculator, holding oil contracts as a profit-making investment rather than a means of lining up the actual delivery of fuel. Even more surprising to the commodities markets was the massive size of Vitol&#8217;s portfolio &#8212; at one point in July, the firm held 11 percent of all the oil contracts on the regulated <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/New+York+Mercantile+Exchange+Inc.?tid=informline" target="">New York Mercantile Exchange</a>. </p>
<p> The discovery revealed how an individual financial player had gained enormous sway over the oil market without the knowledge of regulators. Other CFTC data showed that a significant amount of trading activity was concentrated in the hands of just a few speculators. </p>
<p>The CFTC, which learned about the nature of Vitol&#8217;s activities only after making an unusual request for data from the firm, now reports that financial firms speculating for their clients or for themselves account for about 81 percent of the oil contracts on NYMEX, a far bigger share than had previously been stated by the agency. That figure may rise in coming weeks as the CFTC checks the status of other big traders.</p>
<p> Some lawmakers have blamed these firms for the volatility of oil prices, including the tremendous run-up that peaked earlier in the summer. </p>
<p>&#8220;It is now evident that speculators in the energy futures markets play a much larger role than previously thought, and it is now even harder to accept the agency&#8217;s laughable assertion that excessive speculation has not contributed to rising energy prices,&#8221; said <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/John+Dingell?tid=informline" target="">Rep. John D. Dingell (D-Mich.)</a>. He added that it was &#8220;difficult to comprehend how the CFTC would allow a trader&#8221; to acquire such a large oil inventory &#8220;and not scrutinize this position any sooner.&#8221;</p>
<p> The CFTC, which refrains from naming specific traders in its reports, did not publicly identify Vitol. </p>
<p> The agency&#8217;s report showed only the size of the holdings of an unnamed trader. Vitol&#8217;s identity as that trader was confirmed by two industry sources with direct knowledge of the matter. </p>
<p>CFTC documents show Vitol was one of the most active traders of oil on NYMEX as prices reached record levels. By June 6, for instance, Vitol had acquired a huge holding in oil contracts, betting prices would rise. The contracts were equal to 57.7 million barrels of oil &#8212; about three times the amount the United States consumes daily. That day, the price of oil spiked $11 to settle at $138.54. Oil prices eventually peaked at $147.27 a barrel on July 11 before falling back to settle at $114.98 yesterday. </p>
<p>The documents do not say how much Vitol put down to acquire this position, but under NYMEX rules, the down payment could have been as little as $1 billion, with the company borrowing the rest. </p>
<p>The biggest players on the commodity exchanges often operate as &#8220;swap dealers&#8221; who primarily invest on behalf of hedge funds, wealthy individuals and pension funds, allowing these investors to enjoy returns without having to buy an actual contract for oil or other goods. Some dealers also manage commodity trading for commercial firms. </p>
<p>To build up the vast holdings this practice entails, some swap dealers have maneuvered behind the scenes, exploiting their political influence and gaps in oversight to gain exemptions from regulatory limits and permission to set up new, unregulated markets. Many big traders are active not only on NYMEX but also on private and overseas markets beyond the CFTC&#8217;s purview. These openings have given the firms nearly unfettered access to the trading of vital goods, including oil, cotton and corn.</p>
<p> Using swap dealers as middlemen, investment funds have poured into the commodity markets, raising their holdings to $260 billion this year from $13 billion in 2003. During that same period, the price of crude oil rose unabated every year. </p>
<p>CFTC data show that at the end of July, just four swap dealers held one-third of all NYMEX oil contracts that bet prices would increase. Dealers make trades that forecast prices will either rise or fall. Energy analysts say these data are evidence of the concentration of power in the markets. </p>
<p>CFTC leaders have argued that speculators are not influencing commodities&#8217; prices. If any new information arises during the agency&#8217;s examination of swap dealer activity, officials said they would report it to Congress. </p>
<p>&#8220;To date, the CFTC has found that supply and demand fundamentals offer the best explanation for the systematic rise in oil prices,&#8221; CFTC spokesman R. David Gary said, reading a statement that had been crafted by agency officials. &#8220;Regardless of their classification . . . the CFTC&#8217;s market surveillance group scrutinizes daily the positions of all large traders, both commercial and non-commercial, to guard against market manipulation.&#8221; </p>
<p>Victoria Dix, a spokeswoman for Vitol, declined to answer questions. The firm, through Dix, released a statement that stated only that it had not been contacted by the CFTC about the reclassification of its business and that its trading status remained unchanged. CFTC officials said they do not typically contact firms that are reclassified.</p>
<p> On its Web site, the firm says it has $100 billion a year in revenue and describes its thriving global energy-trading business. </p>
<p> For most of the past century, regulators put limits on financial actors to prevent them from dominating commodity exchanges, which were much smaller than the bond or stock markets. Only commercial operations, such as farms, airlines, manufacturers and the middlemen that handle their trading activities, were allowed to buy nearly unlimited quantities. The goal was to allow these businesses to minimize the effect of price swings. </p>
<p> The first major change to this regulatory framework occurred in 1991, when <a href="http://financial.washingtonpost.com/custom/wpost/html-qcn.asp?dispnav=business&amp;mwpage=qcn&amp;symb=GS&amp;nav=el" target="">Goldman Sachs</a>, through a subsidiary called J. Aron, argued that it should be granted the same exemption given to commercial traders because its business of buying commodities on behalf of investors was similar to the middlemen who broker commodity transactions for commercial firms. </p>
<p> The CFTC granted this request. More exemptions soon followed, including one to the Houston-based energy trader <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Enron+Corporation?tid=informline" target="">Enron</a>. </p>
<p>&#8220;When the CFTC granted the 1991 hedging exemption to J. Aron (a division of Goldman Sachs), it signaled a major shift that has since allowed investors to accumulate enormous positions for purely speculative purposes,&#8221; said Rep. <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Bart+Stupak?tid=informline" target="">Bart Stupak</a> (D-Mich.) Now, he added, &#8220;legitimate businesses that hedge and take physical delivery of oil are being trampled by the speculators who are in the market purely to make profit.&#8221; </p>
<p>A second turning point came when Congress passed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. The law formally allowed investors to trade energy commodities on private electronic platforms outside the purview of regulators. Critics have called this piece of legislation the &#8220;Enron loophole,&#8221; saying Enron played a role in crafting it. </p>
<p>In the months after the act was passed, private electronic trading platforms sprang up across the country, challenging the dominance of NYMEX.</p>
<p> &#8220;Investment banks had been frustrated with the established exchange because they really were never able to get control of it,&#8221; said Michael Greenberger, a law professor at the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/University+of+Maryland?tid=informline" target="">University of Maryland</a> and a former staff member at the CFTC. </p>
<p> The most successful of the private platforms was InterContinental Exchange, or ICE, founded by Goldman Sachs, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Morgan+Stanley?tid=informline" target="">Morgan Stanley</a> and a few other big brokerages in 2000. ICE soon opened a trading platform in London, allowing its founders to trade vast quantities of U.S. oil overseas without being subject to regulation. </p>
<p>The exemptions for swap dealers and the development of overseas markets allowed big brokerages to open the door for more hedge funds, pensions and big investors to move into commodities. </p>
<p> In the coming years, commodity investments by funds could grow to $1 trillion, veteran hedge fund manager Michael Masters said in testimony before the Senate earlier this year. In an interview, he said this trend could raise commodity prices for everyone in the coming years and &#8220;have catastrophic economic effects on millions of already stressed U.S. consumers.&#8221; </p>
<p> Meanwhile, commodities have been good business for big <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Wall+Street?tid=informline" target="">Wall Street</a> brokerages. Its commodity trades helped keep Goldman Sachs profitable during the credit crisis, said Richard Bove, a banking analyst at Ladenburg Thalmann.</p>
<p> &#8220;Business is lousy right now,&#8221; Bowie said of Goldman Sachs. &#8220;Commodities and currencies are clearly the strongest business they have right now.&#8221; </p>
<p>In the coming months, swap dealers expect to have yet another venue for oil speculation. The CFTC has stated it would not stand in the way of trading in U.S. oil contracts overseas in Dubai. Goldman Sachs and Vitol are among the major investors in this new exchange.</p>
<p>Permalink: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/20/AR2008082003898.html">http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/20/AR2008082003898.html</a></p>
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		<title>Biofuel Subsidies to More Than Double to $25 Billion, OECD Says</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/9</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/9#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jul 2008 21:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=9</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Marianne Stigset
July 16 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Biofuels will get $25 billion in subsidies by 2015 in the U.S., Canada and European Union, with limited cuts in greenhouse gases and higher crop prices, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said.
Subsidies totaled $11 billion in 2006, according to a report prepared for the Paris-based organization. The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Marianne Stigset</p>
<p>July 16 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Biofuels will get $25 billion in subsidies by 2015 in the U.S., Canada and European Union, with limited cuts in greenhouse gases and higher crop prices, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said.</p>
<p>Subsidies totaled $11 billion in 2006, according to a <a href="http://www.oecd.org/document/28/0,3343,en_2649_33727_41013916_1_1_1_1,00.html" target="_blank" t_delay="50" t_width="120" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true">report </a>prepared for the Paris-based organization. The industry is &#8220;highly&#8221; dependent on support such as tax breaks, financial aid, import tariffs or compulsory usage, according to the report.</p>
<p>Governments should &#8220;refocus policies to encourage lower energy consumption, particularly in the transport sector,&#8221; the OECD said.</p>
<p>The U.S. and EU are backing biofuels to cut carbon-dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and reduce reliance on crude-oil imports. The EU wants 10 percent of its transport fuels to come from biofuels by 2020. According to the International Monetary Fund, alternative fuels have caused 20 to 30 percent of the recent gains in food prices.</p>
<p>The OECD expects 13 percent of global grain and 20 percent of vegetable oil to go into biofuels production in the next 10 years, up from 8 percent and 9 percent last year. That will mean a 5 percent gain in wheat prices and a 7 percent advance in corn costs, the group said.<br />Ethanol made from sugar cane is the most effective in reducing pollution, cutting emissions by at least 80 percent compared with fossil fuels, the OECD said.</p>
<p>Ethanol made from wheat, sugar beet and vegetable oil, the most common feedstock in Europe, provide 30 to 60 percent savings. Corn-based ethanol cuts emissions by less than 30 percent, according to the OECD.</p>
<p>To contact the reporter on this story: <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Marianne+Stigset&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true">Marianne Stigset</a> in Oslo at <a href="mailto:mstigset@bloomberg.net" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true">mstigset@bloomberg.net</a></p>
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		<title>Secret report: biofuel caused food crisis</title>
		<link>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/7</link>
		<comments>http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/archives/7#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 16:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Manfred Kissling</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[BioFuels]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.obsamericas.com/ecobella/?p=7</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Internal World Bank study delivers blow to plant energy drive
Aditya ChakraborttyThe Guardian,Friday July 4, 2008
Biofuels have forced global food prices up by 75% &#8211; far more than previously estimated &#8211; according to a confidential World Bank report obtained by the Guardian.The damning unpublished assessment is based on the most detailed analysis of the crisis so [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);font-size:85%;" >Internal World Bank study delivers blow to plant energy drive</span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/adityachakrabortty" name="&amp;lid={contentTypeByline}{Aditya Chakrabortty}&amp;lpos={contentTypeByline}{1}"><span style="font-size:85%;">Aditya Chakrabortty</span></a><span style="font-size:85%;"><br /></span><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian" name="&amp;lid={contentTypeByline}{The Guardian}&amp;lpos={contentTypeByline}{2}"><span style="font-size:85%;">The Guardian</span></a><span style="font-size:85%;">,<br />Friday July 4, 2008</span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Biofuels have forced global food prices up by 75% &#8211; far more than previously estimated &#8211; according to a confidential World Bank report obtained by the Guardian.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">The damning unpublished assessment is based on the most detailed analysis of the crisis so far, carried out by an internationally-respected economist at global financial body.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">The figure emphatically contradicts the US government&#8217;s claims that plant-derived fuels contribute less than 3% to food-price rises. It will add to pressure on governments in Washington and across Europe, which have turned to plant-derived fuels to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and reduce their dependence on imported oil.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Senior development sources believe the report, completed in April, has not been published to avoid embarrassing President George Bush.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">&#8220;It would put the World Bank in a political hot-spot with the White House,&#8221; said one yesterday.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">The news comes at a critical point in the world&#8217;s negotiations on biofuels policy. Leaders of the G8 industrialised countries meet next week in Hokkaido, Japan, where they will discuss the food crisis and come under intense lobbying from campaigners calling for a moratorium on the use of plant-derived fuels.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">It will also put pressure on the British government, which is due to release its own report on the impact of biofuels, the Gallagher Report. The Guardian has previously reported that the British study will state that plant fuels have </span><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/jun/19/climatechange.biofuels"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">played a &#8220;significant&#8221; part in pushing up food prices</span></a><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"> to record levels. Although it was expected last week, the report has still not been released.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">&#8220;Political leaders seem intent on suppressing and ignoring the strong evidence that biofuels are a major factor in recent food price rises,&#8221; said Robert Bailey, policy adviser at Oxfam. &#8220;It is imperative that we have the full picture. While politicians concentrate on keeping industry lobbies happy, people in poor countries cannot afford enough to eat.&#8221;<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Rising food prices have pushed 100m people worldwide below the poverty line, estimates the World Bank, and have sparked riots from Bangladesh to Egypt. Government ministers here have described higher food and fuel prices as &#8220;the first real economic crisis of globalisation&#8221;.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">President Bush has linked higher food prices to higher demand from India and China, but the leaked World Bank study disputes that: &#8220;Rapid income growth in developing countries has not led to large increases in global grain consumption and was not a major factor responsible for the large price increases.&#8221;<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Even successive droughts in Australia, calculates the report, have had a marginal impact. Instead, it argues that the EU and US drive for biofuels has had by far the biggest impact on food supply and prices.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Since April, all petrol and diesel in Britain has had to include 2.5% from biofuels. The EU has been considering raising that target to 10% by 2020, but is faced with mounting evidence that that will only push food prices higher.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">&#8220;Without the increase in biofuels, global wheat and maize stocks would not have declined appreciably and price increases due to other factors would have been moderate,&#8221; says the report. The basket of food prices examined in the study rose by 140% between 2002 and this February. The report estimates that higher energy and fertiliser prices accounted for an increase of only 15%, while biofuels have been responsible for a 75% jump over that period.<br />It argues that production of biofuels has distorted food markets in three main ways. First, it has diverted grain away from food for fuel, with over a third of US corn now used to produce ethanol and about half of vegetable oils in the EU going towards the production of biodiesel. Second, farmers have been encouraged to set land aside for biofuel production. Third, it has sparked financial speculation in grains, driving prices up higher.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Other reviews of the food crisis looked at it over a much longer period, or have not linked these three factors, and so arrived at smaller estimates of the impact from biofuels. But the report author, Don Mitchell, is a senior economist at the Bank and has done a detailed, month-by-month analysis of the surge in food prices, which allows much closer examination of the link between biofuels and food supply.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">The report points out biofuels derived from sugarcane, which Brazil specializes in, have not had such a dramatic impact.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Supporters of biofuels argue that they are a greener alternative to relying on oil and other fossil fuels, but even that claim has been disputed by some experts, who argue that it does not apply to US production of ethanol from plants.<br /></span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">&#8220;It is clear that some biofuels have huge impacts on food prices,&#8221; said Dr David King, the government&#8217;s former chief scientific adviser, last night. &#8220;All we are doing by supporting these is subsidising higher food prices, while doing nothing to tackle climate change.&#8221;</span></p>
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